an educated guess

educated guess

A thoughtful, well-reasoned guess; a guess with some basis in one's knowledge. Class, we've studied cells all semester. Take an educated guess as to what the answer might be.
See also: educated, guess

an ˌeducated ˈguess

a guess made on the basis of facts, good information, etc., and so probably fairly accurate: I can’t tell you exactly how much the building work will cost, but I can make an educated guess.
See also: educated, guess
References in periodicals archive ?
Perhaps delaying the cut-off point until 4 or 5pm on the Sunday would allow trainers and jockeys a chance to sample the ground and make an educated guess, as well as allowing Fairyhouse and the sponsors a chance to finalise the field so Monday's newspapers and the day's racegoers come racing with what they know is the final Irish Grand National field of 30.
Otherwise it is undated but, looking at the traffic and dress of people in the photograph, an educated guess would date the image from the later 1930s.
Based on past experience and current conditions, the engineer can then make an educated guess as to what machine conditions will be at any given time.
This is said to be an important new capability because previous methods measure only the exterior temperature, leaving processors to make an educated guess about how much heat is driven through the preform wall.
The fall of David Moyes has been one of the season's most enduring narratives but can we make a few quid from an educated guess at where he might resurface?
Looking at the approach, but without digging out the TERPS manual and topo charts, an educated guess is terrain.
The other ones just required a bit of patience and logic but with that answer it was really more of an educated guess than what I thought the answer was.
We have no idea how he knows this, so let's just chalk that one up to an educated guess.
LET'S see if any of us can make an educated guess as to where Starbucks and Amazon are going to recoup any loss in profit they may incur if they pay more taxes.
As this is just speculation at the moment, there are no specs or benchmarks to go by but we can make an educated guess regarding the specifications, based on what we've seen on the 7970GE.
I will find it easier to assess the situation when I arrive later in the week but we can make an educated guess on the evidence we have.
The Paddy Power spokesman added, "Sometimes this kind of betting comes from people taking an educated guess, but sometimes it is the result of a leak.
An educated guess would be that an additional pounds 80,000+ is required from the budget for these additional costs.
An Educated Guess presents five different examples of successful school district programs that are already in place.
As a nurse I know that identifying the cause of cancer in anyone is at best an educated guess.