a coin toss

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a coin toss

1. Literally, the act of throwing a coin into the air, with the outcome of something dependent on which side of the coin lands face-up. We figured the fairest way was to do a coin toss to see who should keep Dad's old stamp collection.
2. By extension, a situation in which two outcomes, usually opposites, are equally likely and will be decided by chance. At this point, it's really just a coin-toss whether we'll be able to recoup our costs from this project or not.
See also: coin, toss
Farlex Dictionary of Idioms. © 2015 Farlex, Inc, all rights reserved.

a coin toss

AMERICAN
If you describe a something as a coin toss, you mean that there is an equal chance of either of two things happening. Will he play well or will he play badly? It's always a coin toss with him. It's a coin toss as to whether you're going to see a legal challenge.
See also: coin, toss
Collins COBUILD Idioms Dictionary, 3rd ed. © HarperCollins Publishers 2012
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References in periodicals archive ?
But with no alternative date available, the teams had to choose between a coin toss or bowl-out.
I know it was hella close, sometimes it's a coin toss. But a coin toss is sometimes 50-50 and you gotta pick heads or tails.'
We expected a coin toss and both clubs would've been happy playing at each other's ground."
The 22-year-old revealed she learned she would be watched by the future Queen only when the umpire told her at the coin toss.
The next mayor of Araceli, Palawan will be determined by a "coin toss" after the town's two mayoral bets tied in the vote count.
A coin toss Friday morning awarded the fourth and final open Bensenville Elementary District 2 seat to James Stoltman.
"In further changes ahead of the World Test Championship, the tradition of the coin toss will be replaced by a @Twitter poll, allowing fans at home to decide who bats and bowls!," ICC tweeted.
Confiscated from them were P660 in bet money, two pieces of one peso coin, and the oval stone used in the Cara y Cruz (coin toss game).
What about the coin toss? That one is pretty straightforward, right?
We live in a cashless society these days so the Aussies are determining which team bats first in the Bash with a bat flip rather than the old-fashioned coin toss.
The coin toss has been replaced by the bat flip, with the winner of the call begin decided by which side up the cricket bat lands.
The FA said McNamara did not oversee an official coin toss, which is required under the laws of the game, before Manchester City faced Reading last month in the WSL.
A Football Association spokesperson aid McNamara did not oversee an official coin toss, which is required under the laws of the game, before Manchester City faced Reading in the WSL.
A coin toss to decide who kicks off is a requirement under the Laws of the Game but McNamara left his coin in the dressing room and allowed the captains to play rock, paper, scissors to determine kick off and playing ends, the BBC reported.